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| Scene from Carol |
Back in August, I wrote my premature, pre-Oscar season predictions for the main categories for this year's nominees. To say the least, it's an interesting list that manages to miss the point, ignoring films like Room, Brooklyn, and The Big Short all together. But, did I really do as bad as I have made it out to be? The following is a rundown of the list that will feature my original picks first followed by the actual results. If there's any embarrassing or profound comment to accompany this, I will also share them. So, step into the time capsule and recognize just how surprising 2015's Academy class ended up being and how rapidly things could change between August and January.
BEST PICTURE
MY AUGUST 2015 PICKS
-Bridge of Spies
-Carol
-The Danish Girl
-The Hateful Eight
-Inside Out
-Joy
-The Revenant
-Steve Jobs
-Suffragette
Alternates
-Freeheld
-Snowden
-The Walk
THE ACTUAL LIST
-The Big Short
-Bridge of Spies
-Brooklyn
-Mad Max: Fury Road
-The Martian
-The Revenant
-Room
-Spotlight
ACCURACY: 2 out of 8
HINDSIGHT IS 20/20 (EMBARRASSING COMMENTS):
1. I do think that Inside Out has enough acclaim going for it that between it and The Good Dinosaur, it may be the favorite for the category.
2. I also think that The Hateful Eight will mostly be an entry into the category based on its reputation of releasing the film in specialized formats over the course of its run.
3. I also am willing to accept that The Revenant may not be able to make the cut, but only if the film isn't completed by then (Which seems very likely)
BEST DIRECTOR
MY AUGUST 2015 PICKS
-Bridge of Spies (Steven Spielberg)
-The Danish Girl (Tom Hooper)
-Joy (David O. Russell)
-The Revenant (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu)
-Steve Jobs (Danny Boyle)
Alternates
-The Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino)
-Snowden (Oliver Stone)
THE ACTUAL LIST
-The Big Short (Adam McKay)
-Mad Max: Fury Road (George Miller)
-Room (Lenny Abrahamson)
-The Revenant (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu)
-Spotlight (Thomas McCarthy)
ACCURACY: 1 out of 5
HINDSIGHT IS 20/20 (EMBARRASSING COMMENTS):
1. Of every category referenced, I am probably the most confident about this one given the final movies are actually good and qualify.
2. However, the general focus to me is going to be Danny Boyle and Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu. Where the latter boasts that his film is revolutionary, Boyle has also made claims that his film is predominantly going to be made up of single takes.
BEST ACTOR
MY AUGUST 2015 PICKS
-Bridge of Spies (Tom Hanks)
-By the Sea (Brad Pitt)
-The Danish Girl (Eddie Redmayne)
-The Revenant (Leonardo DiCaprio)
-Steve Jobs (Michael Fassbender)
Alternates
-Black Mass (Johnny Depp)
-Snowden (Joseph Gordon-Levitt)
-Southpaw (Jake Gyllenhaal)
THE ACTUAL LIST
-The Danish Girl (Eddie Redmayne)
-The Martian (Matt Damon)
-The Revenant (Leonardo Dicaprio)
-Steve Jobs (Michael Fassbender)
-Trumbo (Bryan Cranston)
ACCURACY: 3 out of 5
HINDSIGHT IS 20/20 (EMBARRASSING COMMENTS):
1. I also think that it is possible for By the Sea to be a strong spotlight for its main two actors and likewise will show up strongly in the acting fields, similarly to Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
2. And finally, I want to believe that Johnny Depp is back to doing good movies.
BEST ACTRESS
MY AUGUST 2015 PICKS
-By the Sea (Angelina Jolie)
-Carol (Cate Blanchett)
-Freeheld (Julianne Moore)
-Joy (Jennifer Lawrence)
-Suffragette (Meryl Streep)
Alternates
-Bridge of Spies (Amy Ryan)
-The Clouds of Sils Maria (Juliette Binoche)
-The Danish Girl (Alicia Vikander)
-Grandma (Lily Tomlin)
-Macbeth (Marion Cotillard)
-Snowden (Shailene Woodley)
THE ACTUAL LIST
-45 Years (Charlotte Rampling)
-Brooklyn (Saoirse Ronan)
-Carol (Cate Blanchett)
-Joy (Jennifer Lawrence)
-Room (Brie Larson)
ACCURACY: 2 out of 5
HINDSIGHT IS 20/20 (EMBARRASSING COMMENTS):
1. While I would like to think that this is the year that Meryl Streep does not get nominated, I still think that Suffragette is too big to fail.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
MY AUGUST 2015 PICKS
-Carol (Rooney Mara)
-Freeheld (Ellen Page)
-Mad Max: Fury Road (Charlize Theron)
-Suffragette (Helena Bonham Carter)
-Suffragette (Carey Mulligan)
Alternates
-The Clouds of Sils Maria (Kristen Stewart)
-Steve Jobs (Kate Winslet)
THE ACTUAL LIST
-Carol (Rooney Mara)
-The Danish Girl (Alicia Vikander)
-The Hateful Eight (Jennifer Jason LEigh)
-Spotlight (Rachel McAdams)
-Steve Jobs (Kate Winslet)
ACCURACY: 1 out of 5 (+1 in Alternates)
HINDSIGHT IS 20/20 (EMBARRASSING COMMENTS):
1. For me, there's only a few potential locks, and that is with Freeheld and Suffragette.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
MY AUGUST 2015 PICKS:
-Black Mass (Benedict Cumberbatch)
-Bridge of Spies (Alan Alda)
-Freeheld (Steve Carrell)
-Joy (Bradley Cooper)
-Spectre (Christoph Waltz)
THE ACTUAL LIST
-The Big Short (Christian Bale)
-Bridge of Spies (Mark Rylance)
-Creed (Sylvester Stallone)
-The Revenant (Tom Hardy)
-Spotlight (Mark Ruffalo)
ACCURACY: 0 out of 5
HINDSIGHT IS 20/20 (EMBARRASSING COMMENTS)
1. All I know is that The Academy loves themselves some Christoph Waltz, having awarded him this category twice now. While James Bond films aren't always associated with acting categories, things could easily change if Waltz turns in something that is magnetic and exciting.
If you need any proof that Oscar season starts off unpredictable, just consult this list and remember that there was a time where I thought that Suffragette and Freeheld were front runners. Both turned out not to be the case, so it just goes to show that anything can happen.
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