The Various Columns

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Looking at Oscar Predictions: How Did I Do?

Scene from Hell or High Water
Well, the moment has come. The Oscars have been announced and La La Land leads the pack with 14 nominations. While we predict what's to come, why not take this opportunity to look at how things went before. I am talking specifically about my own predictions that I made yesterday regarding who was going to make the cut. As you'll see, I didn't do terribly, though betting on horses like 20th Century Women didn't exactly pan out either. The following is a rundown of the main categories as well as what I picked. 


BEST PICTURE

The Nominees:
-Hell or High Water
-Lion



My Predictions: 
-20th Century Women
-Arrival
-Fences
-Hacksaw Ridge
-Hell or High Water
-Hidden Figures
-La La Land
-Lion
-Manchester By the Sea
-Moonlight

Total Right: 9
Total Wrong: -1
-20th Century Women


BEST DIRECTOR

The Nominees:
-Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)
-Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
-Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
-Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester By the Sea)


-Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

My Predictions:
-Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)
-Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
-Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
-Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester By the Sea)
-Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

Total Right: 5
Total Wrong: 0

BEST ACTOR

The Nominees:
-Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
-Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
-Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
-Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)
-Denzel Washington (Fences)

My Predictions:
-Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)
-Denzel Washington (Fences)
-Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
-Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
-Casey Affleck (Manchester By the Sea)

Total Right: 5
Total Wrong: 0

BEST ACTRESS

The Nominees:
-Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
-Ruth Negga (Loving)
-Natalie Portman (Jackie)
-Emma Stone (La La Land)


-Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

My Predictions:
-Annette Benning (20th Century Women)
-Amy Adams (Arrival)
-Natalie Portman (Jackie)
-Emma Stone (La La Land)
-Ruth Negga (Loving)

Total Right: 3
Total Wrong: -2
-Amy Adams (Arrival)
-Annette Benning (20th Century Women)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

The Nominees:
-Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
-Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
-Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
-Dev Patel (Lion)
-Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)

My Predictions:
-Jovan Adepo (Fences)
-Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
-Dev Patel (Lion)
-Lucas Hedges (Manchester By the Sea)
-Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

Total Right: 4

Total Wrong: -1
-Jovan Adepo (Fences)



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

The Nominees:
-Viola Davis (Fences)
-Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
-Nicole Kidman (Lion)
-Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)
-Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

My Predictions:

-Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women)
-Viola Davis (Fences)
-Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)
-Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea)
-Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

Total Right: 4

Total Wrong: -1
-Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women)



Overall Total: 34

Best Category: Best Director, Best Actor
Worst Category: Best Actress
Overall Total Right: 29
Overall Total Wrong: 5

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